BIG PREMIERE WEEK, huge SHRUG FROM COLLECTORS

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The early days of June saw the premieres of five TV episodes for comic-related properties as well as two trailers over the program of six days.  Let’s take a look at exactly how the market reacted.

Obi-Wan Kenobi – Meh

Friday, June 3 saw the very first airing of the third episode of the Obi-Wan Kenobi series on Disney+.  as of this writing, it has been two weeks since the may 27 premiere of the very first two episodes of the series.  in that time, 31 graded copies of star Wars #2, the very first appearance of Obi-Wan, have sold, for an typical of 2.4 copies per day.

Not bad, up until you think about that it’s only a slight uptick from the 2.0 each day typical the month prior to may 27.  The peak sale during the two weeks since the series premiered was a 9.6 graded copy that offered on June 5 for $711, down 64% from its peak sale in that grade on November 21, 2021.

The boys – The huge Winner, kind Of

Friday, June 3 likewise saw the premiere of the very first three episodes of season 3 of The boys on Amazon.  This was the one bright area for the week.  12 graded copies of The boys #1 offered in the six days after the very first airings, for an typical of two copies per day, besting the typical of 0.7 copies each day the month prior.

There was a significant sale, too.  A 9.8 graded copy offered on June 3 for $1,400, 36% higher than the October 24, 2021 sale of a 9.8 graded signed copy for $900.  Of course, this looks a bit like a lunatic sale, or a unfortunate attempt at market manipulation, as the typical cost of the four other 9.8 graded copies that have offered since June 3 is $393.50, 5% above the $375 FMV.

But we take our bright areas where we can discover them.

Sandman – okay on Volume

Monday, June 6 brought us a brand-new trailer as well as a premiere date – August 5 – for the Netflix series, The Sandman.  11 graded copies of The Sandman #1 have offered since June 6, for an typical of 3.7 graded copies offered per day.  For the month prior, the typical was somewhat above one copy per day.  So, we have a nice uptick in volume.

Price is one more story.  The top copy offered in the few days after the trailer’s premiere was a 9.8 graded copy which offered on June 6 for a reduced $1,500.  The peak 9.8 sale – a reduced $1,899 on June 9, 2021, down 21%.

Black Adam – A huge Bust

We lastly got a trailer for Warner Bros. Discovery’s Black Adam on Wednesday, June 8.  The character very first appeared in comics in marvel household #1.  Of course, that’s a golden Age book with only 144 graded copies in the CGC census, the type of book less apt to respond to film or TV appearances.  as well as it didn’t; the last recorded sale of a graded copy was on March 24.

So, we turn to Black Adam’s second appearance, the Bronze Age Shazam #28.  Surely, a more accessible comic such as this would respond.  Alas, no.  since the trailer’s premiere, only two graded copies have sold, the higher of the two being a 9.0 copy that offered for a reduced $600, 42% below the FMV for that grade.

Ms. marvel – Circling the Drain

Wednesday, June 8 was likewise the premiere date for the very first episode of Ms. marvel on Disney+.  Ms. marvel very first appeared in all-new marvel now point One #1, a book that has been plummeting in value this year.  four graded copies have offered since the series premiere.  The high was a 9.8 graded copy that offered on June 8 for $959.  That’s down a staggering 52% from its peak sale in that grade for a reduced $2,199 on June 11, 2021.

Analysis

It’s difficult to believe that we’re only three months eliminated from the heady days of the Moon Knight series premiere, when we saw significant boosts in volume as well as record sales for key Moon Knight issues.  We’re only a month eliminated from the cinematic premiere of physician strange in the Multiverse of Madness as well as the premiere of the trailer for She-Hulk attorney at Law.

While costs may not have been up in those glorious days of May, we at least saw huge upticks in volume.  This past week has served as a microcosm of the market as a whole.  Our expectations over the past few years, that key problems associated to movies as well as TV series were an chance to money in, have triggered the collecting neighborhood to bet huge in the really hopes of a bigger payday.  It appears like that is no longer the case.

We’ve went into bear market area for comic books.  Some will get away the hobby, hoping to recoup a few of their investment.  As somebody who has been with several upturns as well as downturns in the comic book market, I state to you newer collectors:  stay the course.  like all markets, the comic book collecting market has its ebbs as well as flows.  now is the time to begin looking for deals.  Not offers that will gain you 10 to 20% in six months or less.  now is the time to look for offers that might web you much, much more over a longer time period.  We’re in a buyer’s marketnull

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